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[lastpost] => 2751814 特斯拉在最糟糕的时机抛售了75%的比特币，错失数十亿美元收益（转） 1753396513 九嶷风
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K33 Research的研究负责人Vetle Lunde于4月30日在一个惊人的加密X邮报中指出，加密货币7天的波动率刚刚达到了563天的低点。7 ^4 P# s( \: G) j9 H" n/ \
1 Z4 x0 l4 I) b0 O1 N; q. E3 FBTC 7天波动率点击563天低pic.twitter.com/9xvvQ3t6N7
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6 y( y+ `+ W- ^& A/ I% ]-Vetle Lunde（@vetlelunde）2025年4月30日
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同时，对美元的30天比特币价格波动稳步下降。根据Bitbo和TheBlock的数据，自2011年以来，BTC的波动率一直在退化。7 J- i: Z# Y& C% _5 n* u, X; Z
3 _' U" ~; q1 Q9 G低比特币的波动率：看涨还是看跌？# q% [& e2 S. @- \' \
低波动性可能是加密货币和库存的看跌。这是因为在牛市上，价格往往会随着更多的数量而上升，并突然纠正。
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结果，一些交易者可能将低波动率解释为卖出或等待信号。但是，比特币图表技术在华尔街资金和加密交易所进行的激烈的BTC集会上取得了里程碑式的记录。. [" r% u5 v- F% ]2 ?% g' B
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因此，可能很难将其作为看跌迹象。
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. u3 @9 z$ Q6 m4 z取而代之的是，低BTC波动率可能只是比特币现在拥有如此高的市值的结果，即五月开始的2万亿美元档次，流动性运行更加顺利。鲸鱼大小的参与者不再对曾经拥有的整体市场产生挥发性飞溅效应。# q) C5 X r/ x3 t/ |
/ c# V4 `2 A, v9 h1 \9 ~/ p- [保真度：许多股票比BTC更波动5 X4 k# _$ ]5 D8 }
总体而言，这是比特币的看涨里程碑。这意味着该网络的资本化已经增长了令人震惊的速度，以至于现在它不像海洋中的一条小船一样上下摆动。取而代之的是，它更像是一个大型，良好且庄重的工艺。8 @+ r0 z/ F+ }! {
& R, W( [4 ^6 E; l& P去年的忠实数字资产研究研究指出关于BTC价格波动的一些有趣的事实，例如：“比特币是波动的，但比许多流行的大型股票股票更少。”
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& G! J) a8 ]" b- e* C总部位于波士顿的大型投资公司还表示：“比特币目前的波动率不及33个标准普尔500股股票，而到2023年下半年，比特币的波动率高92个标准普尔500股。”4 U( e+ p6 P/ n# K
+ m9 j0 M0 ]4 Z) ^( f
该报告确定了一个预测：“比特币的波动率下降了，预计将继续这样做。”同时，加密价格4月初低于75,000美元之后，人们一直在迅速增长，并敲打了100,000美元的门。. G- L( r! r1 H- y% x, k5 m
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