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[lastpost] => 2746902 立法者为“加密货币周”做准备，比特币出现获利回吐（转） 1753337435 小梦
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K33 Research的研究负责人Vetle Lunde于4月30日在一个惊人的加密X邮报中指出，加密货币7天的波动率刚刚达到了563天的低点。
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" P7 C. {' k& f/ K* P: b e% iBTC 7天波动率点击563天低pic.twitter.com/9xvvQ3t6N7
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8 t' |+ h2 |( ]-Vetle Lunde（@vetlelunde）2025年4月30日+ e5 N+ S- A1 P5 h$ N
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同时，对美元的30天比特币价格波动稳步下降。根据Bitbo和TheBlock的数据，自2011年以来，BTC的波动率一直在退化。
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低比特币的波动率：看涨还是看跌？3 F8 d" Y& G. i+ g. s, b
低波动性可能是加密货币和库存的看跌。这是因为在牛市上，价格往往会随着更多的数量而上升，并突然纠正。
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( H1 y6 e1 X/ A& \1 ^结果，一些交易者可能将低波动率解释为卖出或等待信号。但是，比特币图表技术在华尔街资金和加密交易所进行的激烈的BTC集会上取得了里程碑式的记录。
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因此，可能很难将其作为看跌迹象。
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+ T: m9 g8 _; y, M' L+ |5 ~6 g取而代之的是，低BTC波动率可能只是比特币现在拥有如此高的市值的结果，即五月开始的2万亿美元档次，流动性运行更加顺利。鲸鱼大小的参与者不再对曾经拥有的整体市场产生挥发性飞溅效应。9 Q7 n: u% V4 I! y. `
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保真度：许多股票比BTC更波动8 O9 e, [2 u8 x4 M6 u7 g- Y3 {
总体而言，这是比特币的看涨里程碑。这意味着该网络的资本化已经增长了令人震惊的速度，以至于现在它不像海洋中的一条小船一样上下摆动。取而代之的是，它更像是一个大型，良好且庄重的工艺。0 x3 M/ ?3 ?/ H0 R( I/ P
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去年的忠实数字资产研究研究指出关于BTC价格波动的一些有趣的事实，例如：“比特币是波动的，但比许多流行的大型股票股票更少。”
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7 W8 p2 N) D. L& A* o" K5 t总部位于波士顿的大型投资公司还表示：“比特币目前的波动率不及33个标准普尔500股股票，而到2023年下半年，比特币的波动率高92个标准普尔500股。”
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该报告确定了一个预测：“比特币的波动率下降了，预计将继续这样做。”同时，加密价格4月初低于75,000美元之后，人们一直在迅速增长，并敲打了100,000美元的门。& H* ]9 J! e$ S4 s# ]5 b
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