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[虚拟币交流]
特朗普打算解锁4000万代币：投资者的下一步是什么？（转）
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特朗普令牌即将到来的4000万代币解锁可能会触发脆弱的市场情绪中的抛售3 d9 N% G# j7 J: v" j
自推出以来，价格下降了89％，4月18日之前的前景不确定
5 Q6 R6 O9 L( m' j p) ]在Memecoin历史上，倒计时已经开始了最高的代币解锁之一。 4月18日，特朗普官方[特朗普]令牌将发布4000万个令牌流通，目前价值约3.3亿美元。3 @) D6 t5 Z2 R
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总供应量的20％，主要分配给内部人士。对于自推出以来一直在流血的图表，这一事件可能是重置叙事或加深下降的火花。& |6 Y$ M4 t3 @2 i+ b5 W" s
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内幕分配引起了重量解锁的危险信号
" V2 t; V5 p K7 `目前只有20％的特朗普总供应量流传，即将到来的4000万个令牌的解锁占该浮点数的20％，这是一方面。
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这项耗资3.32亿美元的Unlock计划于4月18日，有投资者处于边缘状态，尤其是因为新发布的令牌分配了内部分配。
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从历史上看这样的解锁通常导致销售压力增加。特朗普已经大大低于其顶峰，市场情绪仍然脆弱。
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每日发行49.3万代币，相当于近410万美元的潜在卖方压力，加剧了人们的关注。如果置信度进一步削弱，则这种解锁可能是更严重衰退的催化剂。
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- }& W( k$ d. a5 R特朗普价格前景3 F* F' g2 Y8 c1 x& S$ x
特朗普的代币价格一直处于延长趋势，在短暂反弹后发稿时徘徊在8.43美元左右。' x7 l3 N# g i+ Q1 J5 }
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这标志着自推出以来的89％下降了89％。 RSI在38.90时仍然弱，信号持续看跌势头和缺乏强大的购买压力。
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同时，MACD刚刚进入积极的领域，但信号仍然微弱且令人信服。尽管较小的提升，但价格行动仍在近期低点附近，表明市场犹豫。2 B |* y0 X' v7 d# O& V
. q6 a/ ?2 W3 `! X交易量也显得很薄，表明公牛缺乏信念。如果没有明显的突破或情感转变，任何集会都可能是短暂的，尤其是在大型解锁事件迫在眉睫的情况下。
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过去解锁了一个警示性的故事
5 S0 J, i& ~( i; Z" o( {与内幕分配相关的代币解锁以导致价格下跌而闻名，尤其是在市场情绪疲软时期。% S* O4 P+ W! h) u
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从历史上看，大规模的发行版，例如来自Aptos和intinum的发行版，已经充满了供应过多的市场。这种过度供应经常压倒性的要求，导致价格下降。 p$ Z/ R5 p$ Z' X
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在流动性有限且炒作周期高度挥发性的Memecoin市场中，影响通常更为明显。特朗普遵循这些趋势，使无关后的抛售可能。
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