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[虚拟币交流]
特朗普打算解锁4000万代币：投资者的下一步是什么？（转）
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特朗普令牌即将到来的4000万代币解锁可能会触发脆弱的市场情绪中的抛售
8 ?; R C! `* H" m自推出以来，价格下降了89％，4月18日之前的前景不确定8 p7 F0 \9 G6 k; k
在Memecoin历史上，倒计时已经开始了最高的代币解锁之一。 4月18日，特朗普官方[特朗普]令牌将发布4000万个令牌流通，目前价值约3.3亿美元。5 k* V( R2 k, F7 J9 \
4 \ h2 }% K/ k( B总供应量的20％，主要分配给内部人士。对于自推出以来一直在流血的图表，这一事件可能是重置叙事或加深下降的火花。
0 i1 a( F. y4 v# [( S8 N* x4 z9 E _4 b- Z( t, A8 |7 H3 ]
内幕分配引起了重量解锁的危险信号1 z1 a) X; J4 U
目前只有20％的特朗普总供应量流传，即将到来的4000万个令牌的解锁占该浮点数的20％，这是一方面。
. w% z8 |; J# X' b( `
s6 K7 D3 X' K/ C( p; J- ~这项耗资3.32亿美元的Unlock计划于4月18日，有投资者处于边缘状态，尤其是因为新发布的令牌分配了内部分配。0 o6 N. t4 \5 K
) i2 b, h4 E" k5 j
从历史上看这样的解锁通常导致销售压力增加。特朗普已经大大低于其顶峰，市场情绪仍然脆弱。3 U' Y$ F/ ~: a' w
5 K$ \" j# e1 i5 I! N4 T7 u
每日发行49.3万代币，相当于近410万美元的潜在卖方压力，加剧了人们的关注。如果置信度进一步削弱，则这种解锁可能是更严重衰退的催化剂。- K( x# s4 J |/ I1 |
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特朗普价格前景
# R; G+ G+ `5 ?; n! c+ f; ?5 R特朗普的代币价格一直处于延长趋势，在短暂反弹后发稿时徘徊在8.43美元左右。
: L, B7 A& P5 i$ K5 n0 Z$ w
/ r5 O6 [" W( g% ]这标志着自推出以来的89％下降了89％。 RSI在38.90时仍然弱，信号持续看跌势头和缺乏强大的购买压力。3 ^) k# c2 R* y. @$ s V
/ ] f5 I/ ]" i/ z2 A6 n( P
同时，MACD刚刚进入积极的领域，但信号仍然微弱且令人信服。尽管较小的提升，但价格行动仍在近期低点附近，表明市场犹豫。3 q& r2 j! }# K" L$ {, F& |
p) H4 |% ? a L+ E
交易量也显得很薄，表明公牛缺乏信念。如果没有明显的突破或情感转变，任何集会都可能是短暂的，尤其是在大型解锁事件迫在眉睫的情况下。
8 ^* i% l5 @7 ?; _: U: c" {1 K% K; S* t" c8 R, j6 R! j7 G
过去解锁了一个警示性的故事; r$ y6 Y) ^1 G) L2 j- P; V
与内幕分配相关的代币解锁以导致价格下跌而闻名，尤其是在市场情绪疲软时期。
- ^, O" Z4 p) h C V9 q# ~ Q
+ q# z/ o. ?/ d' n从历史上看，大规模的发行版，例如来自Aptos和intinum的发行版，已经充满了供应过多的市场。这种过度供应经常压倒性的要求，导致价格下降。
- T4 x( f9 L$ _7 B! B8 _* \
( {5 }! `8 B* |5 }( r5 y0 |* Q在流动性有限且炒作周期高度挥发性的Memecoin市场中，影响通常更为明显。特朗普遵循这些趋势，使无关后的抛售可能。7 A: Y1 ?: d: V4 O( L1 F& l
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