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在杰克逊霍尔会议导致美国市场崩溃后，比特币进入9月第一周，走的是一条坎坷的下坡路。 5 [ {/ Y8 J7 g: o! Q7 r' J
在美联储加强了对通货膨胀前景的鹰派言论后，风险资产全面抛售，加密货币仍在受余波影响。 ( q. s; d( w* c( {
相当稳定的周末并没有改善市场情绪，BTC的价格走势已经回到了20000美元下方的区域。
# m1 _ I y6 o; `; Y这样一来，持续数周的上行实际上已经消失，交易员和分析师据此预计，比特币将重新测试今年6月的宏观低点。 9 `# \- ]# \! W
虽然在9月加息决定公布之前，有关美联储的一切都很平静，但由于地缘政治的不确定性和通货膨胀持续存在(欧洲的通胀仍在上升)，所以不安空间仍然很大。 - U9 ?( B5 {1 ~8 y1 x7 g3 B
然而，就像上周一样，比特币作为一个网络似乎在基本面上具有弹性，链上数据与价格图表显示的情况完全不同。 6 B7 ~ {0 K8 Z; v
Cointelegraph在考虑BTC/USD未来几天可能的走向时研究了以下五个因素。 - s# @& U9 Y9 |0 J
现货价格触发18000美元的目标价格! ?1 N8 \2 r& K, ^
Cointelegraph Markets Pro和TradingView的数据证实，猜测BTC/USD在最新一周收盘时的走势并不令人惊讶。
9 K/ D9 m1 o& f0 B在经历了一个相对平静的周末后，BTC/USD在8月28日结束时大幅抛售，创下自7月初以来的最低周收盘价。
0 Q7 l8 C8 p2 }+ ~) a+ x5 p1 I ~2000美元的跌幅为多头结束了悲惨的8月，而在此之前一周，还损失了3000美元。
" J! }5 I0 J5 B; X) F
, N( A% y4 k* U, Y1 WBTC/USD一周蜡烛图（Bitstamp）来源：TradingView
7 {0 }# l1 y, \/ H, B离月线收盘结束还有几天，分析师们的情绪在短期内不那么乐观，这是可以理解的。 " o! E$ Q* J6 x1 z8 Y( {6 C: {
"希望我们能在本周看到复苏，但上周五股市的收盘方式看起来并不那么好，"交易员Josh Rager在周末更新的部分内容中向其推特粉丝总结道。 8 p6 U. b- H2 Y7 |( `5 m# ], k1 @( p2 W
尽管如此，受欢迎的交易账户Il Capo of Crypto仍然认为，在下跌趋势持续之前，有可能出现短暂的上行挤压。 3 k* H. W9 k. F' n6 P
注意到负资金费率意味着衍生品市场倾向于直接亏损，他预测23000美元可能首先重新出现。
9 K& S& K1 n7 M8 H& {) P交易员Mark Cullen回应说，交易员 "在20100美元和20300美元之间的区域增加了更多的BTC空头头寸"。
( }" z1 G0 g6 x* M4 ?, i在17000美元或更低的预测中，技术分析师Gert van Lagen给出了日线图上17500美元的最低目标价格。 * ]& k0 u4 w7 O; w0 {- N/ S/ V/ \
同时，TMV Crypto将18400美元视为值得关注的长时间框架领域。 4 r7 }0 i; k& l
交易员为美股进一步下跌做准备0 S/ {. D8 s4 y( u& I
上周，美联储主席杰杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)的重磅讲话给全球风险资产带来了冲击。
0 J9 {% t9 L9 b( _ s" ~/ l根统计，鲍威尔8分钟的讲话使全球股市蒸发了超过2万亿美元，其中仅美国股市就占1.25万亿美元。
' Y# i5 R! X' I7 H鲍威尔说："在某些时候，随着货币政策的立场进一步收紧，放缓加息步伐可能是合适的。" |
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