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澳门博彩人士料：台湾开赌五年内对澳没有威胁
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据澳门日报报道，台湾“总统”候选人马英九、谢长廷均表示有条件赞成台湾“开赌”。澳大博彩研究所所长冯家超认为，由于台湾旅游基础设施未成熟，要形成规模的行业仍需一段长时间，相信短期内不会对澳门博彩业构成很大的竞争压力。 ' E+ p! H1 t4 ^# a D
U+ X8 M; s, ~$ f5 P 两三年后才能运作
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4 h! S0 K. v, t: n6 |, L 马英九及谢长廷出席电视辩论，回答“对澎湖设立娱乐城的看法”问题时，均赞同台湾有条件“开赌”。
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5 Y5 K7 ^8 _. [4 ^ 冯家超指出，台湾现在设娱乐城具有很浓的市场气氛。一方面去年台湾旅游业在过去一年持续不景气，其它行业有实力的公司，纷纷迁往内地发展，令台湾运用竞争优势促进经济增长的空间越来越小，开拓新的旅游市场客观因素增加。台湾旅游业在过去一段时间相对封闭，开放旅游业是一个可以考虑的因素。
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; f% |5 B4 I3 H' z; @ 若因选举口号促使两个“总统”候选人产生有条件开放澎湖发展博彩业的主观因素，结合岛内客观的经济环境因素，台湾开放博彩业的可能性将大为增加。
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, c% H# {/ [7 t; g7 @; G8 | 即使新的台湾“领导人”上场后决定在澎湖开放博彩业，相信不会只局限开兴建一至二间娱乐城，要进行可行性研究、推动立法程序，需要一段时间国际招标，加上娱乐城设施的兴建也需时。若以澳门开放赌权的经验分析，澎湖设娱乐城最少要二至三年才能正式投入运作，也即对澳门到位的影响，最少在二至三年后才会出现。
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- P8 a# J2 d5 o 澳门规模或已翻倍
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另外，澎湖的机场等交通基础建设条件还不成熟，要成为具有规模的博彩事业，除了博彩公司需要建立新的旅游博彩设施外，还需要ZF在基础建设上投入大量资源。这些庞大基础建设动辄经年累月，工程所需时间更难以评估。
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2 s- ]8 V+ j- {* l; _5 T 若澎湖在二、三年后可以开赌，要形成一个成熟及规模的市场，仍需一段长时间。以澳门博彩业的发展速度看，二、三年后澳门的市场规模有可能翻一番，在“人无我有，人有我优(化)”的趋势下，即使澎湖开赌，未来五年至十年不对澳门博彩业构成大的竞争压力。 5 b: U5 s6 `8 e9 ~' o' X/ y- _
; ^5 z* c+ J+ {' o7 L3 e( ?1 z( y 冯家超强调，虽然如此，澳门也应该密切关注事态变化。若届时台湾采取遍地开花的形式开赌则另当别论。但若以遍地开花形式进行，ZF面对的压力巨大，尤其没有足够的博彩业经验，并非所有“领导人”愿意承担娱乐城遍地开花引致的风险。所以相信台湾即使开赌，也只是以循序渐进的形式进行，不会对澳门构成巨大的实时威胁。# N5 D' Y$ N+ e' x
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