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[lastpost] => 2791816 比特币本周将面临价值 230 亿美元的巨额期权到期。（转） 1766501013 人生如赌
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比特币本周将面临价值 230 亿美元的巨额期权到期。（转）
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价值约236亿美元的比特币（比特币）期权将于12月26日星期五到期，这将是历史上规模最大的比特币期权到期日。
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更具体地说，未平仓合约数据CoinGlass截至12月23日，呼叫中心活动高度集中。选项介于 10 万美元至 12 万美元之间，表明许多交易员正在为进一步上涨做准备。
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% i! s6 w2 e4 O6 J$ H: R不利的一面是，看跌期权集中在 85,000 美元附近，表明关键支撑位正受到密切关注。所谓的“最大痛点”，即期权持有者可能遭受最大损失的价格，接近 96,000 美元。 V5 g- K0 J7 F H5 _+ A; `+ Q; Q, u
" }, O4 }0 k' t# H按行权价划分的比特币未平仓合约量。数据来源：CoinGlass
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为了更直观地了解情况，今年的 236 亿美元可以与去年的 198 亿美元和 2023 年的 110 亿美元进行比较。* k+ C5 w% B1 ]& y
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比特币最重要的事件之一
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3 u" k3 Y: W' Y& z+ j3 B尽管到期日规模巨大，但目前的仓位布局仍可视为建设性策略。具体而言，看跌期权与看涨期权的比例为0.38，因此交易者似乎更倾向于寻求上涨机会而非下跌保护。6 _. X0 i+ Y& [8 f+ ^
3 p- p: q0 S# B/ R9 |) X2 m6 i截至发稿时，比特币交易价格接近 87,800 美元，当日下跌 2.38%。但由于比特币在主要期权到期前往往波动较大，因此一旦合约到期、未平仓合约重置，价格很可能出现新的剧烈波动。& z) U2 [3 x7 g0 c; ?
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比特币24小时价格。
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, u/ `& X2 q; ]% c. q f鉴于此次事件的规模，即使临近到期日价格出现小幅波动，也可能引发剧烈波动，因为交易员会平仓并解除对冲。
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值得注意的是，此次交易的时机恰逢假期周，而假期周通常是市场流动性较弱的时期。换句话说，大额订单可能会比平时更剧烈地影响价格。
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- |5 ]7 R- _! E7 C9 P1 S最终，这些惊人的数字进一步印证了市场已经变得多么受机构驱动，衍生品流动越来越左右价格走势，无论价格朝哪个方向发展。+ G8 w% Z9 W' r9 E
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