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[lastpost] => 2767089 比特币十年翻了逾百倍 杜兰特忘记密码“躺赢”（转） 1758283078 中大奖
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K33 Research的研究负责人Vetle Lunde于4月30日在一个惊人的加密X邮报中指出，加密货币7天的波动率刚刚达到了563天的低点。1 T4 S8 B, ?. P8 @0 H
w' ?# y6 {+ }: Q- a7 \BTC 7天波动率点击563天低pic.twitter.com/9xvvQ3t6N77 C5 R9 A* X' M& _6 L4 ?3 a2 c) H9 E5 b
& r2 X9 O1 T; Y2 j8 p% @; ^8 ?-Vetle Lunde（@vetlelunde）2025年4月30日7 E6 W1 H( O' p# P% A- J4 h6 v
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同时，对美元的30天比特币价格波动稳步下降。根据Bitbo和TheBlock的数据，自2011年以来，BTC的波动率一直在退化。) }* ]3 Q: [& e H
! {: V/ J2 K8 `6 O0 }4 o/ X6 Z低比特币的波动率：看涨还是看跌？0 t9 e; Z! Z3 x
低波动性可能是加密货币和库存的看跌。这是因为在牛市上，价格往往会随着更多的数量而上升，并突然纠正。
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结果，一些交易者可能将低波动率解释为卖出或等待信号。但是，比特币图表技术在华尔街资金和加密交易所进行的激烈的BTC集会上取得了里程碑式的记录。
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$ x3 L- y5 J9 b& a因此，可能很难将其作为看跌迹象。
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- M% e# [1 q& V$ Q# A取而代之的是，低BTC波动率可能只是比特币现在拥有如此高的市值的结果，即五月开始的2万亿美元档次，流动性运行更加顺利。鲸鱼大小的参与者不再对曾经拥有的整体市场产生挥发性飞溅效应。
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保真度：许多股票比BTC更波动$ a9 ?; Q* U3 ^
总体而言，这是比特币的看涨里程碑。这意味着该网络的资本化已经增长了令人震惊的速度，以至于现在它不像海洋中的一条小船一样上下摆动。取而代之的是，它更像是一个大型，良好且庄重的工艺。- R% q' a p( \5 h2 [9 |( o: }& w ?
3 B0 q7 n. }7 K; {1 _( ~* [去年的忠实数字资产研究研究指出关于BTC价格波动的一些有趣的事实，例如：“比特币是波动的，但比许多流行的大型股票股票更少。”
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总部位于波士顿的大型投资公司还表示：“比特币目前的波动率不及33个标准普尔500股股票，而到2023年下半年，比特币的波动率高92个标准普尔500股。”) g+ \- s& f2 {
5 X) I- c* Y- e9 T0 j0 B) }0 p6 M该报告确定了一个预测：“比特币的波动率下降了，预计将继续这样做。”同时，加密价格4月初低于75,000美元之后，人们一直在迅速增长，并敲打了100,000美元的门。6 u7 \' Z$ J2 c. |9 k
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