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[虚拟币交流]
比特币以98,000美元的价格违反了疑问,那么为什么投资者仍然谨慎?(转)
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比特币集会高于$ 98K,与持续的负面投资者情绪形成鲜明对比;难以置信的可能性可能表明机会。; ~/ i. K" K9 {# g! X+ H o
大量的ETF流入促进了BTC,但2022年风险的风险仍然可能使这种动力脱轨。
9 m3 G" X! p' R8 D1 T3 t尽管比特币[BTC]令人印象深刻的持有超过$ 98K的大关,投资者的情绪越来越低。这引起了一波怀疑,在牛市中,这感觉奇怪的是不合时宜。3 v% }! s2 V3 e) D" p) l
$ I4 O5 |; @# R- Z4 K. B* P! P市场是否难以置信,兴奋不已?还是这些信号反映了2022熊市?. c9 C8 y: j \, ]1 X" \
0 d- s& b. x% j9 b
随着BTC最近的[激增]重点势头,当前的气候可能与基本面一样由心理学来驱动。
' S/ w# ? G: X+ D% o b; x
; ]- S% _" g C8 v3 a, w7 R牛un云蒙上阴影
% z7 E: s4 v% S$ g最近的数据显示比特币X(以前为Twitter)和新闻平台上的价格和普遍情绪。
; H( j! a' z$ b2 q2 T. b$ H$ I1 e
^" V- n( e1 a4 ~7 x$ h即使BTC交易自信地超过9.8万美元,平均7天的平均情绪仍然牢固地负面 - 这种模式在历史上与本地底部和逆势购买机会有关。. |& f. E+ {% P6 q f* \
' S& U ?$ T+ J这种持续的难以置信表明市场在心理上落后于价格行动。9 l% d! T0 D% ^6 \; B2 }/ p% h. I
% @- S! Y7 H* T) M尽管这种情绪下降以前曾在看涨逆转之前,但值得记住的是2022年的警告性故事,在这种情况下,延长的消极情绪与长时间的熊阶段相吻合。- K9 D. q* F' g4 H% B; ~, C: W+ }, l
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BTC背后的机构引擎* ?; @) r6 h" S4 {8 F1 _
在ETF流图表:经过数周的一致流出后,四月迎来了大量ETF流入的政权。9 y0 |" l2 j% D
5 W+ X7 s& m! d- @; e' u这种重新获得的机构兴趣主要由贝莱德(Blackrock)和富达(Fidelity)等巨人领导,似乎使比特币向上驱动了势头,将其推向了9.8万美元的大关。, [: c( v U2 _% [$ p
# \2 e( W* }' _" D/ j与较早几个月的挥发性流动不同,该阶段显示出稳定的每日净流入,表明了强烈的长期信念。
$ m. A* b! K3 I& G- e
8 }* ?0 u: b4 w5 e$ v) i" k. I机构信心可能是[激增]的关键力量,即使零售情绪仍然谨慎。
" b2 r4 n7 d# k. Z
6 x! d! [2 o2 |" i怎么了?
* N( D& O% v" {% t尽管ETF流入信号乐观,但历史使投资者保持谨慎。
9 k: t7 k9 v' O) \" _7 A$ F3 L% A& \5 {8 G; Z
2022年,由机构产品和宏观趋势驱动的看涨情绪,由于流动性冲击和杠杆率过多而崩溃。
3 g4 {0 D9 q' H, @2 L% R* L4 [" |9 c9 W* x; {/ h3 B
风险食欲或监管压力的突然转移可能会触发快速流出,从而逆转最近的收益。
, q9 ]+ ^9 h3 Q8 P
' A: b6 m7 }4 Y0 I- X3 o; V# y尽管ETF提供了透明度,但它们并不能阻止比特币免受市场波动的影响。如果流入缓慢或转向赎回,比特币可能会面临类似于过去周期的抛售。# W" R5 a! A# t N5 B$ v
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