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[lastpost] => 2768025 加密货币已不再是单纯的炒币...现在可用币买房买车交学费，连“冷冻身体”都行... 1758903906 天策-瑶娥
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币以98,000美元的价格违反了疑问，那么为什么投资者仍然谨慎？（转）
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比特币集会高于$ 98K，与持续的负面投资者情绪形成鲜明对比；难以置信的可能性可能表明机会。. e" O- V9 y% U# N
大量的ETF流入促进了BTC，但2022年风险的风险仍然可能使这种动力脱轨。
! e% q9 t6 e/ }, d, l/ w尽管比特币[BTC]令人印象深刻的持有超过$ 98K的大关，投资者的情绪越来越低。这引起了一波怀疑，在牛市中，这感觉奇怪的是不合时宜。
8 n* M* A% g+ e! m# R3 `
$ `0 o& s4 h" [8 G市场是否难以置信，兴奋不已？还是这些信号反映了2022熊市？
* u$ k( W4 A$ W# I
0 c6 V9 W' [! n! i6 u3 v( u' ^9 q随着BTC最近的[激增]重点势头，当前的气候可能与基本面一样由心理学来驱动。
# a4 }/ Y* | d% f
/ n2 O* A9 v9 c2 Y, h# f牛un云蒙上阴影
/ Y! @( I* d! O% m2 K' w& m最近的数据显示比特币X（以前为Twitter）和新闻平台上的价格和普遍情绪。# y4 |7 a# R. ` {( d$ R! e& A
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即使BTC交易自信地超过9.8万美元，平均7天的平均情绪仍然牢固地负面 - 这种模式在历史上与本地底部和逆势购买机会有关。
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这种持续的难以置信表明市场在心理上落后于价格行动。* b# j6 X; Q) l
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尽管这种情绪下降以前曾在看涨逆转之前，但值得记住的是2022年的警告性故事，在这种情况下，延长的消极情绪与长时间的熊阶段相吻合。" T- X6 r, z- j7 z8 t. a
" N* \: g, o8 `( l& i T8 Z5 i" GBTC背后的机构引擎* b, C6 C9 C6 a' P4 J1 E
在ETF流图表：经过数周的一致流出后，四月迎来了大量ETF流入的政权。* L2 N( b, c% s* m& G3 I
' ?4 c( i4 N4 q& h$ h {* y这种重新获得的机构兴趣主要由贝莱德（Blackrock）和富达（Fidelity）等巨人领导，似乎使比特币向上驱动了势头，将其推向了9.8万美元的大关。
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与较早几个月的挥发性流动不同，该阶段显示出稳定的每日净流入，表明了强烈的长期信念。
5 K4 Y) B/ K2 W+ I5 B' q9 x% J' c1 d! z! h: d
机构信心可能是[激增]的关键力量，即使零售情绪仍然谨慎。
+ A2 @: V" c8 v! b7 I9 l- l; R/ n! `6 \' J
怎么了？
3 d% X6 {' s2 J$ k尽管ETF流入信号乐观，但历史使投资者保持谨慎。4 P" b0 Z7 M. d2 _! @' P! B
9 w6 ~3 Q4 w5 h( b3 n9 F! h2022年，由机构产品和宏观趋势驱动的看涨情绪，由于流动性冲击和杠杆率过多而崩溃。- C* r0 @: }5 o7 ^7 o: m5 V9 F
. x, v3 y# m( A+ _, t! }风险食欲或监管压力的突然转移可能会触发快速流出，从而逆转最近的收益。* `* |0 j c' p; N
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尽管ETF提供了透明度，但它们并不能阻止比特币免受市场波动的影响。如果流入缓慢或转向赎回，比特币可能会面临类似于过去周期的抛售。/ G+ i9 X/ ~% ~: A) _% z; N
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