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[虚拟币交流]
随着投资者转向美国资产的“更好的对冲”,比特币ETF超过黄金 (转)
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在过去的五个交易日中,美国的比特币ETF流入超过了30亿美元,标准包机的数据还表明,黄金ETF的流出率为10亿美元。
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6 ^4 q! n: y1 z) H" A5 x' E0 A! m/ p' r标准特许分析师杰弗里·肯德里克(Geoffrey Kendrick)在一份投资者笔记中的写作还强调,比特币ETF和Gold ETF流量之间的差距已达到40亿美元,这是自11月美国总统大选以来最大的一次。 h! M( L$ Y, ?5 C$ k# Y" {
; C" y3 M* m1 W* d1 k& w7 q比特币Kendrick写道,ETF超越了黄金对应物,因为BTC“比在美国外面的战略资产重新分配的黄金更好”。 Y: D5 A) [( f1 b/ L, `
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这种重新分配的迹象在如何美国财政收益率正在上升,这反过来是需求下降的迹象。
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9 s/ G4 z2 l' o0 T% k3 w肯德里克写道:“美国财政期限溢价(与BTC密切相关)为12年。” “一天的分析表明,总部位于美国的投资者可能正在寻求非美国资产。”; w1 ^7 H6 J2 z, F T5 j+ I- ]
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州街市场的迈克尔·梅特卡夫(Michael Metcalfe)提供了类似的分析今天早上,他对投资者的注释中写道:“长期的外国投资者对30年的财政部的需求一直低于平均水平,但4月份结束,每周的流量接近五年低点。”
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对基于美国资产的需求下降,推动了对比特币(ETF),他认为。肯德里克(Kendrick)补充说,最近在最近的贸易战中进行了暂定改善,使人们对黄金的兴趣减轻了。
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他告诉解密。 “因此,这是对Tradfi问题的最终对冲,无论是来自私营部门(例如,SVB倒塌)或公共部门(也许现在,现在,有了国库券的保费表明[]相同)。”
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相比之下,黄金在肯德里克观点(Kendrick View)中的目的是不同的目的,“特别针对地缘ZZ类型问题,包括与人身或贸易战有关。”
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所以因为有迹象表明美国现在愿意就潜在的贸易协议与天朝进行谈判,因为这两个国家包括豁免在他们的互惠关税中,黄金最近几天受到了相对的打击。$ H8 y# M0 I$ d: b5 F
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但是,由于市场仍然关注美国经济政策的一般方向,因此对比特币的需求可能会在接下来的几周内提高,标准宪章预测,它将在本季度末创造新的记录。
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9 ^8 U) Q0 I8 h6 j0 G肯德里克(Kendrick)解释说:“像目前的动作一样,往往是在过去的几周或几个月中。” “我认为它至少可以持续到第二季度结束,因此我的120,000美元的Q2预测。”
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但是,乐观并没有结束,但是,标准宪章的注释还重申了其200,000美元的年终目标,这在整个夏季的收益中得到了帮助。3 Y6 C) }! [ G( v6 m {$ v% y
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至于今天,过去24小时内比特币下降了0.3%,达到94,979美元,而加密货币市场的整体下降了2%。
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