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在杰克逊霍尔会议导致美国市场崩溃后，比特币进入9月第一周，走的是一条坎坷的下坡路。
4 ?7 u6 ~3 `4 U- E" ?5 n在美联储加强了对通货膨胀前景的鹰派言论后，风险资产全面抛售，加密货币仍在受余波影响。 2 Z" T0 r7 m r; S/ f7 Q8 X# K
相当稳定的周末并没有改善市场情绪，BTC的价格走势已经回到了20000美元下方的区域。 3 D4 B: A6 Y. ?" @8 |2 j: x" p
这样一来，持续数周的上行实际上已经消失，交易员和分析师据此预计，比特币将重新测试今年6月的宏观低点。
; n7 U" v1 s5 J0 l Z: \# c6 U& u虽然在9月加息决定公布之前，有关美联储的一切都很平静，但由于地缘政治的不确定性和通货膨胀持续存在(欧洲的通胀仍在上升)，所以不安空间仍然很大。
* |. y7 }, ~# U然而，就像上周一样，比特币作为一个网络似乎在基本面上具有弹性，链上数据与价格图表显示的情况完全不同。
# }8 c1 |, m$ x: }Cointelegraph在考虑BTC/USD未来几天可能的走向时研究了以下五个因素。 ! I4 ?" s! D, u0 F% V& i
现货价格触发18000美元的目标价格+ p5 J" w1 q+ ^5 {6 O* f& v
Cointelegraph Markets Pro和TradingView的数据证实，猜测BTC/USD在最新一周收盘时的走势并不令人惊讶。
# ^6 y2 e5 B" m" D: y8 X3 S在经历了一个相对平静的周末后，BTC/USD在8月28日结束时大幅抛售，创下自7月初以来的最低周收盘价。
9 D0 ?6 F) M+ m4 I: E2000美元的跌幅为多头结束了悲惨的8月，而在此之前一周，还损失了3000美元。
; b, k5 `* K6 Y S& I3 S
% `' H' s8 D& n5 E- i3 [
BTC/USD一周蜡烛图（Bitstamp）来源：TradingView
3 G5 E0 b* Q0 R6 c9 p$ t2 ^% Z离月线收盘结束还有几天，分析师们的情绪在短期内不那么乐观，这是可以理解的。 2 S. C$ ^5 D3 e- s
"希望我们能在本周看到复苏，但上周五股市的收盘方式看起来并不那么好，"交易员Josh Rager在周末更新的部分内容中向其推特粉丝总结道。
- G# v/ t) c; Q/ J# |( X: I尽管如此，受欢迎的交易账户Il Capo of Crypto仍然认为，在下跌趋势持续之前，有可能出现短暂的上行挤压。
' o& K3 O' }# [% N& B, ]0 Q注意到负资金费率意味着衍生品市场倾向于直接亏损，他预测23000美元可能首先重新出现。 $ T4 n$ u5 Y; F! ?4 z/ A8 d
交易员Mark Cullen回应说，交易员 "在20100美元和20300美元之间的区域增加了更多的BTC空头头寸"。
) _- u' @& B8 c0 t在17000美元或更低的预测中，技术分析师Gert van Lagen给出了日线图上17500美元的最低目标价格。
8 P, A+ j9 |" F W0 h3 @+ y同时，TMV Crypto将18400美元视为值得关注的长时间框架领域。
1 V0 s1 }; E6 u. ^交易员为美股进一步下跌做准备; R$ g% L8 o$ x% z9 e4 t
上周，美联储主席杰杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)的重磅讲话给全球风险资产带来了冲击。
/ ?; c' I. B0 s0 T& P根统计，鲍威尔8分钟的讲话使全球股市蒸发了超过2万亿美元，其中仅美国股市就占1.25万亿美元。
# [* V0 ?) N `+ W# Z鲍威尔说："在某些时候，随着货币政策的立场进一步收紧，放缓加息步伐可能是合适的。" |
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