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[真人] 德州梭哈的科学
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1#
如果你打德州梭哈坐庄位,拿黑桃六五,三人跟注,没有人加注,你跟不跟注?甚至加注?
5 S+ z) b) w" t5 p8 K5 z
2 c; d7 h9 b5 J/ }如果你坐在第三位(大盲注的下一位),你「应不应该」跟注?
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应不应该跟注,「应该」凭统计学,不靠灵感。梭哈用五十二张牌,你拿黑桃六五,别人手上不会再有黑桃六五,但别人可能有AA,KK,AK。你玩二十一点拿十六点而对家七点,加注平均一百次输四十一次,不加注一百次输四十八注,加比不加多少输七注,应该加牌。梭哈同样可以用电脑排列演算拿同花六五面对对手各种可能牌型的平均赢/输率。如果不考虑唬人(bluffing)策略,你坐庄位同花五跟注,平均一百次淨输五注,不应该跟注。$ `2 }. i$ p* P8 a5 [

/ J' g" L8 n* p' y' t. B上表是拿不同花AT、同花六五与六六在不同坐子的跟法期望值。依上表你拿不同花AT坐三、四位,拿六六坐第三位都应该不跟,而拿六五同花大部分情形下不应跟注。  j$ _0 A3 v) T5 ^8 t! g
2 r# {) f, J! U$ I* x$ U$ W5 E" |
梭哈「人」的因素比二十一点大得多。二十一点不管是张三李四发牌,只要没作弊策略相同……八八对七分,十一对三DU倍。打梭哈对手强弱,你对对手的了解(可唬不可唬)都影响决策。例如你坐庄位拿同花六五,没有人跟注及加注,你可以考虑加注希望大小盲注不跟。% n7 Z4 ^& r  z; W2 [4 {1 W( l: R

. x$ h" A7 ^& X2 k/ X0 K梭哈坐哪?很重要……愈后面的位置守株待兔愈好,坐前位拿好牌(AK)加注可能被后位(AA)螳螂捕蝉,再加注捕杀。0 b1 q! Q. \# i3 K
& f6 e% S0 N7 w+ u( T5 B+ J- X, n! T: h0 j
拫据电脑分析各位置牌的跟注期望值,可以整理成各位置跟注牌的下限。这样的表可以说是德州梭哈的「基本策略表」,整理如下……这个表是原则,现场再依各种状况调整。梭哈「人」的因素多,尤其打无上限梭哈,不时应该烂牌跟注设陷阱及唬人# p, I$ T! s5 z! ]! q
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2#
梭哈德州完全是看运气了
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3#
kk166 发表于 2015-6-1 14:28
5 {* t& j* e$ e9 B  E6 \) K& P梭哈德州完全是看运气了
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运气那的确是非常的重要的哦
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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
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:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory:
:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
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:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake:
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