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9 月 25 日，XRP 突破 2.90 美元的涨幅在大量抛售下崩盘，交易量飙升 2.77 亿美元，将价格拉回 2.75 美元。 此举导致过去一周市场价值蒸发逾 180 亿美元，并确认 2.80 美元处出现新的阻力，交易员们准备测试 2.70 美元的支撑位。 $ l# [& D! R0 a& e- w! s
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, T* G3 F$ i: K新闻背景
" |0 j: T8 o G1 x# Y7 X) e5 q. r: H• 由于机构大量抛售，XRP 在 9 月 25 日至 26 日的交易中下跌 5.83%，从 2.92 美元跌至 2.75 美元。) V2 j3 O! {3 g7 T
• 17:00 时，价格在 2.80 美元处急剧下跌，引发交易量激增 2.7677 亿 — — 是 24 小时平均值的 2.5 倍多。/ A o* v3 p q5 }2 x& m4 p
• 尽管美国证券交易委员会批准了首只美国 XRP ETF，但鲍威尔对估值和国债收益率上升的警告抵消了乐观情绪。3 O: ?# I9 v. p1 X* l
• 过去一周，XRP 市值缩水 189.4 亿美元，跌幅 10.22%，跌破 3.00 美元心理关口。
G* j# |( N7 @$ W# _: e价格行为摘要
. \' E, |5 A, f Q5 Z- A" rXRP 交易价格在 2.92 美元至 2.74 美元之间（盘中波动幅度为 6.3%），最终收于 2.75 美元附近。
9 R7 e; j. j4 w7 z3 v" e# ^• 在 2.80 美元的价位因成交量极大而遭到拒绝后，卖方占据主导地位，形成了一个限制进一步上涨的分配区。
- S6 p; Y: m: F/ {; \• 随后的复苏尝试在 2.81 美元至 2.82 美元左右停滞，证实了新的阻力群。. r% z3 Y* I1 ^- m/ N, z, w0 j
• 最后一个小时，价格短暂反弹 1.09%，从 2.75 美元上涨至 2.78 美元，主要受 00:50 至 00:57 之间每根蜡烛交易量超过 300 万的集中流量推动。
/ n" X6 L" X4 _( x3 x• 目前短期支撑位在 2.75 美元至 2.77 美元，若突破则面临下行风险，跌向 2.70 美元。 技术分析0 n7 ^9 y5 j& i
• 范围：最高 2.92 美元至最低 2.74 美元之间为 0.18 美元（6.3%）。) y1 t8 A1 p# ]5 p, R! Q! {) O9 ]5 ?
• 阻力位：2.80 美元的初始阻力位；2.81 美元至 2.82 美元的阻力位在重新测试失败后形成。
( @" ~" b; a5 k; F' @• 支撑位：尾盘交易中捍卫了 2.75 美元区域；接下来关注 2.70 美元心理水平。
2 l q0 ]- i1 g- c$ }- z+ d$ Z• 交易量：17:00 时为 2.7677 亿，而日均交易量为 1.0842 亿。) n7 B" G) x; ]: ]9 ~3 F, \: a
• 形态：成交量大幅回落，预示着价格将逐步分散。短期盘整于2.77美元附近，表明市场在下一步行动前仍犹豫不决。 4 M L+ q* r( [. f; f# @! p/ l7 G: K
交易员们正在关注什么/ w# o5 C! o/ G& c8 n3 w, ~2 N7 {+ Z
• 亚洲交易时段是否维持 2.75 美元的水平，还是跌向 2.70 美元。
' l; |1 L/ [- d5 Z7 u6 \• ETF 乐观情绪与实际资金流出——抛售新闻模式仍在发挥作用。: n9 M* Y3 e8 W6 w& m0 j. k: Q7 ?& o y, o
• 过去一周，鲸鱼资金已转移 8 亿美元；如果恢复抛售，则将面临定位风险。* M u# S R( ~+ S
• 宏观风险：鲍威尔的强硬语气、美国国债收益率攀升、美联储降息预期受到限制。
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当前离线
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总在线: 13388 小时
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当前离线
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XRP冲高回落太快，2.80变强阻力，短期真得守住2.75，不然就要试探2.70了。9 y9 @0 ]1 o. r( W
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当前离线
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当前离线
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