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[lastpost] => 2749122 从币圈冲上全球第五！比特币一周暴涨3000亿，连亚马逊和白银都被它“踩在脚下” 1752855889 天策-瑶娥
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[虚拟币交流]
将比特币路的映射到$ 98K - 分析关键障碍，反弹的几率（转）
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BTC鲸鱼流入本周增长了26％，但长期流出仍然超过积累。% q/ n( r3 \6 y. o x& N# n! |
比特币的价格发散和估值冲突可能会将干净的突破延迟至98,000美元以上。
& \3 ^( q' U& T+ V n/ r比特币[BTC]正在显示潜在反弹的早期迹象，并由TD顺序购买支持信号在每小时图表上，并更新了技术势头。发稿时，BTC的交易价格为95,952.36美元，在过去24小时内下降了0.33％。
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尽管价格的合并低于$ 96,000，但几个基于链和衍生品的指标表明，如果关键的结构信号一致，则BTC可能正在为决定性举动做准备。8 r. ~2 U0 a, |# {9 N. t
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鲸鱼的积累显示出短期流入，但是…
) A3 n, N+ |8 l& ?# f8 u# g鲸鱼的新鲜积累提供了乐观的第一个火花。在过去一周中，大型持有人的Netflow上升了26.41％，这表明当前水平的短期定罪。
{. q' J0 m1 V* V$ V" g, @3 p7 C* g/ L: p4 w
但是，更广泛的趋势仍然减少了30天和90天的Netfrows，分别下降了-108.09％和-110.13％。, i1 C3 S9 x- H: M
/ d+ U. u. W; _/ ?: X& O因此，尽管恢复了最近的恢复，但长期分布仍在对持续的看涨势头构成挑战。* a+ c- {( d$ j
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最重要的是玻璃节数据显示链上使用情况的显着增加，过去24小时内记录了925,914个活动地址。
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这标志着六个月内网络活动的最高水平，并标志着强大的区块链参与。
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" V1 _4 Z e5 S2 r1 J: d. Q然而，热情可能很热。 Santiment Price DAA发散的价格为-225.82％，显示价格超过了有机地址的增长。/ i( F8 K; w3 k: C
! P( \( j! H3 l( _( }7 x估值指标揭示了BTC市场健康的信号冲突
; }7 P* Y q1 }" ^几种估值模型提出了混合的前景。0 e7 w) {. e6 W9 s
9 `. N8 Y; p3 @$ t" r% TPUELL多个坐在1.36处，表明矿工收入在健康范围内。
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. k9 z5 W! _0 Y. x' c同时，NVT和NVM比分别增加了50％和26％，这表明市值超过了交易和用户活动。
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相反，股票与流量的比率下降了50％，表明对长期稀缺定价的信心降低。这些相互矛盾的指标表明，尽管基本面并不弱，但市场仍然处于估值灰色区域。$ G8 i: ~* ]( u( L" C
9 q) c( P$ `+ k9 q* V' {' h* I9 ?* R5 M此外，Binance清算热图显示，密集包装的流动性集群接近94,000美元和98,000美元。这些水平代表了高杠杆定位的区域，价格波动通常会加剧。 2 \& w' u4 l+ k( `2 {# {
: H! ^% f9 q8 G6 `0 b; T如果BTC超过$ 98,000，它可能会触发一系列级联的级别清算，以增强动力。但是，低于$ 94K的下跌可能会清算长期头寸并提高价格。# c/ ?+ f, g1 ^- h. p* W
1 n- K; ?- A% J' `' K/ U. W结果，交易者应密切关注这些水平，因为他们可能决定BTC的下一个定向行动。) d0 q* G7 t& S# L: @, k' z) v$ q
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BTC可以再次超过$ 98K还是再次失速？
7 h8 y U( w. U比特币随着网络活动的上升和新鲜的鲸鱼流入而闪烁的恢复迹象。 1 Z g: M2 k6 }- z( B. C. J0 w
7 N- W2 u7 ~* N& W; u: E& |4 S但是，长期的卖出压力，负价分支的差异和估值张力表明，突破超过$ 98K的途径仍然不确定。 # S4 m' k" B! x
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