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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份; O5 F# {; o! G( Q& P
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报告中特别强调了这一论断。
4 W* l) W6 s, h美元抛售推高比特币 g& m# G m. F+ `: |
% b0 I- j( L6 P7 JGalaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以
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来的最低水平。5 F" O9 g5 Y" V$ h
, Y8 z. S$ `2 C9 ^: A“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”
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根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指0 K+ L( ?9 }8 H# N
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数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。" E- Z. P7 [8 g/ R6 r0 Q& v+ ?4 A$ C
/ Q/ V1 \: R2 j% G% |& T" @3 ]Amberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推
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, D3 {6 A s0 h& j. m高黄金和比特币的价格。/ E w; c% w! Z% L# l, H; b
6 d5 {+ v# B% w9 J- f' v% u+ G3 K下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化
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+ b2 W# J# {, _ ?+ Z, t: Y剂。% x- r! n& y- N1 _
0 @" V2 T$ m" q: u" M! d4 ]2 \这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。% C' W' v+ v* v
2 O) U/ F' }- X( }" [这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破+ M1 \& V* r* v* x, Y1 G3 S
& n2 \1 ?- ?/ c& i; i1 u5 L1 ^了8.7万美元。# `+ ^, L, I3 Y; v7 f
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然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，
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& {8 W% R* D) V. j' {“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”* h3 I; ~+ H. ?, ]$ U
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分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。
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“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”
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. E& U9 i( J) z. U0 F Q. iCryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交6 K9 `' v! `. b/ i" \
* ?; Q, K% W; T2 u" d易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。" C$ K9 P$ a3 {6 `% W# J- I
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