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[lastpost] => 2750895 美宏观数据符合预期，降息前行情持续，长手正式启动抛售（07.14~07.20）（转） 1753099216 mattf
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K33 Research的研究负责人Vetle Lunde于4月30日在一个惊人的加密X邮报中指出，加密货币7天的波动率刚刚达到了563天的低点。6 F1 m2 t7 ]8 S4 n' B
7 M1 d" L* z/ e2 n) e- [3 mBTC 7天波动率点击563天低pic.twitter.com/9xvvQ3t6N7
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-Vetle Lunde（@vetlelunde）2025年4月30日; ^$ q c4 G) E: X! }' G. Y
7 b3 w$ i( |$ m1 I U$ q1 ]0 u4 m1 \同时，对美元的30天比特币价格波动稳步下降。根据Bitbo和TheBlock的数据，自2011年以来，BTC的波动率一直在退化。1 [0 i/ G8 o1 j O7 R# y
8 I4 B+ Q7 b Q4 \4 v5 ?0 N9 W3 v低比特币的波动率：看涨还是看跌？, ?7 K! c9 W# Y# P6 \9 d" k
低波动性可能是加密货币和库存的看跌。这是因为在牛市上，价格往往会随着更多的数量而上升，并突然纠正。
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2 G! K( e+ \8 }% r( c& k; q结果，一些交易者可能将低波动率解释为卖出或等待信号。但是，比特币图表技术在华尔街资金和加密交易所进行的激烈的BTC集会上取得了里程碑式的记录。
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" y% p# p. n2 A+ B6 b$ v4 C因此，可能很难将其作为看跌迹象。
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取而代之的是，低BTC波动率可能只是比特币现在拥有如此高的市值的结果，即五月开始的2万亿美元档次，流动性运行更加顺利。鲸鱼大小的参与者不再对曾经拥有的整体市场产生挥发性飞溅效应。6 k1 d1 Y; A8 l
- T) |+ }* D) h) d& o* @ P保真度：许多股票比BTC更波动# N8 E: t: }$ s& k3 B# K
总体而言，这是比特币的看涨里程碑。这意味着该网络的资本化已经增长了令人震惊的速度，以至于现在它不像海洋中的一条小船一样上下摆动。取而代之的是，它更像是一个大型，良好且庄重的工艺。
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0 s/ N( ~" M( ?去年的忠实数字资产研究研究指出关于BTC价格波动的一些有趣的事实，例如：“比特币是波动的，但比许多流行的大型股票股票更少。”
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总部位于波士顿的大型投资公司还表示：“比特币目前的波动率不及33个标准普尔500股股票，而到2023年下半年，比特币的波动率高92个标准普尔500股。”
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d$ h4 O$ B p) D& c8 f5 r( j该报告确定了一个预测：“比特币的波动率下降了，预计将继续这样做。”同时，加密价格4月初低于75,000美元之后，人们一直在迅速增长，并敲打了100,000美元的门。2 S+ ]8 s8 i2 b. ]$ ~: D7 `+ }
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