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[虚拟币交流]
9月11号分析，BTC冲高1143回撤力度小ETH回踩4300显弱，月中看116
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行情回顾：老大; V) i& C+ Q" J, f# Y
昨日最高：
|7 x8 v* t+ z, W7 a114313
6 [2 M# @8 f4 @，最低
& c/ o) M% M* N" a110917
0 j( Y! ^( @, `，波动
# I; A% q8 `7 T1 z. N3396) k [& |0 e5 @6 Q- o' m5 u8 d! p( T h
个点，$ t8 D3 N8 x- T* Z8 O
老二
# Z7 t; W3 g$ E3 D9 b6 Z6 {* L, Q昨日最高：
0 C/ A( \( `% q6 x8 W4453，
- p; C( A1 A: f0 c0 K) ~/ e最低：% k% [5 G5 V U% W5 x8 z: ?4 E# l
4285- e, O. d# W$ g w
，波动9 Y5 S' U" I0 Q2 j& R7 ]0 o" O) Q* S
168/ z2 f# l7 m! ?% t, X5 O. ~6 R5 L
个点，昨天+ e- w. Y- k# x- W5 C' }+ i3 T# p
周三+ ~ m; c* u Q, F0 d
昨日 BTC 日内走势符合 “强势主导” 预期，价格最高触及 1143 附近阻力区间后开启回撤，但回撤力度明显小于 ETH—— 这再次印证了 “本轮行情 BTC 强于 ETH” 的判断，毕竟这轮反弹核心本就是围绕 BTC 展开，需等大饼先打开空间，ETH 才会跟进。从具体走势看，BTC 昨晚回踩仅至 113 附近，未回吐此前拉涨幅度，回调更偏向蓄力，而非趋势反转
, g9 i" F1 K' X+ q) ]% `* o0 rETH 则延续弱势表现：日内冲高至 4450 附近阻力后，回踩插针直接跌至 4300 一线，凌晨回撤力度极大，近乎 “怎么拉涨就怎么跌回”，不仅缺乏行情持续性，更在几小时内抹去日内全部涨幅，直到触及 4300 支撑才勉强反弹。显然，当前 ETH 仍处于被动跟随状态，需等 BTC 明确突破 116后，再判断其后续上涨空间
$ K- m0 {0 \& m4 I) W1 v# C6 b时间节点上，月中仅剩四天，按当前节奏，BTC 大概率会触及 115-116 区间—— 尽管昨日高点已接近该区间，但尚未完全触及，后续仍有上冲动力；ETH 虽短期弱势，但待 BTC 站稳关键位置后，大概率会迎来补涨爆发0 p% }9 ?% N9 _8 W
今日周四看点：
' _2 C7 d; M0 H4 C) G- fBTC2 u' M! f0 |/ q' O, |) Z: D
BTC日内级别上昨天讲到的是日内直接看反弹的，行情也如期而至日内上直接触及了1143的阻力位置，凌晨回踩得到一波1130附近一线然后再反弹，按照这样四小时级别的走势来看，目前的支撑防守就在113附近一线，预防下插针112附近一线即可，这个位置本就是在行情反攻到115-116之后不去企稳看的回踩位置，但是现在稳稳的站上了112也可以作为一个支撑防守区间，上方今天如果强势顺利的话，今天日内就会直接触及115-116区间一线的位置，就看最近两天是否会直接性的企稳突破116一线
4 I# X. k; V# l: O3 P6 y/ p; NETH! d" t" w i1 J; n6 S3 \1 e3 F
ETH虽然说表现的比较弱势，但是4200-4300区间的底部已经构建成功了，所以四小时级别以及日线级别上都是走的一个震荡行情，正常来讲这种走势4600的小阻力位置并不会有很大的阻力，只要上去触碰的话，会直接性的突破或者直接逼近4700-4800一线，把这个4600的位置直接进行破位，日内级别上还是持续的关注4300-4350区间一线即可，上方的阻力位置持续先关注4500-4600区间一线& q1 ^1 L/ V' g$ l
山寨
; F, j- R8 S* k' v, U山寨币方面，近期需重点关注 DOGE，其出现异动上涨的概率较高；SOL 则保持慢涨节奏，稳步推升无需急涨，可持续跟踪；此外，JTO 与 PEOPLE 仍在震荡周期，需耐心等待行情启动信号，整体以 “盯紧强势标的、忽略短期震荡” 为主
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BTC冲高1143回撤力度小，ETH回踩4300显弱，月中看116，搏一把就是 |
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BTC强于ETH，月中看116，目前ETH需等BTC开空间才会有动作 |
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