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[lastpost] => 2344055 【天策2020双旦嘉年华】，万元大金矿，联合【众鑫娱乐】寻找挖金手（开奖帖） 1610638563 女人爱足球
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北京时间9月11日星期日晚21点，2011/2012意大利足球甲级联赛第2轮全面展开，罗马将坐镇奥林匹克球场迎战卡利亚里。+ x1 m2 R4 P! v$ ~- ^0 \
欧赔
~; N- v% \/ v9 S6 M% }# I, X: r+ PBet365：1.50 4.00 7.00
: H+ o- v* f0 [- m y$ ^# N0 X& q$ aSNAI：1.45 4.00 7.004 X: Y1 I' F1 H! F
威廉希尔：1.50 3.90 7.00
3 O9 f2 e1 c# G( K相比欧平1.48-3.84-6.55，除了SNAI，Bet365和威廉希尔主胜都略高于欧平，但三家的平赔与客胜都不约而同在欧平之上。意大利公司SNAI开出的1.45-4.00-7.00组合主队胜率并不高，历史数据仅为主队12胜6平6负，胜率仅为50%，远低于该赔率组合63.71%的主胜率。; o4 p3 g* {. J0 E3 q1 D- T f4 S
亚指
9 n! a" t' L* X8 x8 ] C" ^. y# d澳彩 0.90 一球 0.96 a2 j* [/ A2 K# W/ q8 s
立博 0.95 一球 0.91
: N1 |, A* h( @( b F" `金宝博 0.93 一球 1.00' O- {0 \3 w4 V) I. j! q& {$ o
本场大部分公司都以一球盘开盘受注，相比两队以往交锋时的亚指数据，此役是罗马近7年来主场打卡利亚里让步最小的一次，而且水位来看也不太有利，不难看出庄家对今夏进行了大换血的罗马信心并不是很充足。( N. {7 q9 W5 R+ W( r
交锋往绩5 x) E9 J: N1 X- \
两队近28次交锋罗马12胜9平7负占据上风，其中主场10胜4平保持不败，并且已经保持主场对卡利亚里7连胜。值得一提的是，在主场对阵卡利亚里的14场比赛中，罗马全部都取得进球，“红狼”主场的进球能力还是相当有保障的。
; F8 w: o! w$ b) @$ H综合分析
. V" `+ C+ ` V! t- {' I# K罗马这个夏天进行大变革，不仅从巴塞罗那B队请来了少帅恩里克执教，还不惜血本地引进了十几名新球员。新赛季罗马的特点就是年轻化，目前这支球队的平均年龄比上赛季一下子年轻了4岁！不过与此同时也带来了不少新问题：首先是阵容变动较大带来的磨合问题，通过赛季前的热身赛和欧联杯资格赛不难看出，罗马后防不稳的老毛病依旧严重，几乎场场失球，进攻上也缺乏一击制胜的法宝。7 W: B, H% B( Z: D1 w! v! B7 {7 E
其次就是托蒂与主教练恩里克之间的矛盾，后者巴萨化、年轻化的改革风暴严重冲击着以托蒂为首等一批老队员的利益，为此罗马队长不惜与俱乐部高层叫上了板，甚至还引发了意大利媒体的大讨论。要知道，在罗马，处理不好与托蒂的关系，任何主教练都不会有好果子吃，此前的斯帕莱蒂、拉涅利都是活生生的样板。就这几天的情况来看，托蒂与恩里克的矛盾看似稍有缓和，但依旧不排除是面和心不合。
% X: V! i; S+ y/ U$ w% k1 n& H( z0 [$ k
2 K9 b0 }7 g3 P9 s3 G如果说本场比赛有什么对罗马比较有利的消息的话，那只能说是卡利亚里的衰败。新赛季卡利亚里炒掉了多纳多尼，替换前意大利主帅的是上赛季带领切塞纳保级的菲卡登蒂。但俱乐部并没有给菲卡登蒂多少支持，卡利亚里的阵容严重失血，马尔凯蒂、拉扎里、阿夸弗雷斯卡等不少主力今夏都相继离队，俱乐部没有补充任何有实力的战将。+ F% z# J/ N, v+ b9 X
综合分析，罗马虽有将帅不和的隐患，但球队今夏整体实力上升是不争的事实。往绩上，罗马主场对卡利亚里也占据了绝对的心理优势，考虑到新阵容尚存在不少问题，预计罗马能够在主场取得开门红，但要大胜难度不小。 |
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