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[1755] => 交易所
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[1757] => 第三方支付
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。 ' _+ y& Z( g+ e1 f# O
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5. 废话的不对称原则
7 r/ u: @+ o3 |反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。
9 ?$ t( M6 ~ M$ \( J) p& ]: P0 I; l8 y- m
回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。* T i4 y0 `' `3 J4 @! b+ d
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写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。1 ?# G, s1 w! L7 s) R, p% g
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每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。
' c& C2 O& `) f; W( G
0 n6 |3 z& x! M8 q* _4 w6 c而对抗它们需要太多的精力。
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5 L& |4 b- P7 f+ v1 ~7 O* u6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)
0 b, T1 E! R$ m& \. R: w7 S* K被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。
7 N# \& j3 [& O' d( ]; S9 ?" V% M
不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。4 N6 W5 K; f: T; Z, J
* j, a9 r2 r/ v) O' r8 X因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。5 { B6 a, |5 o, x% d% f0 s
, V5 S' m( t. E7 `! i
想象一下罕见事件:7 ~) ~5 @0 k6 f; m
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• 中本聪的钱包苏醒7 N* d8 j5 D# F" _
7 \* Q6 G: D0 J! |" L8 I+ `• 核打击
; |' _( Y* A- \: R6 J7 U1 D% f5 _- h
我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!
" N {6 I) j6 e4 c* J8 N! p: A( z0 g
: X4 f* \6 k$ E0 H- ?+ {7.二八定律 T" c: L" P4 Y0 e
在币圈:
0 a8 z9 O3 m) s* ]4 _; [$ d: L4 z$ t0 W! R& B$ b$ l
80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。
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80%的利润被20%的人拿走。' N" X4 ^5 z5 z4 b/ E; B% c
$ }: M" @- Y: w% H0 C J- |我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。- w' A& O \% _6 F
2 [9 P; ^, C7 Q) k. J& X
8.网络效应
; a+ C- a% A0 M5 w) F/ m( {1 x- |产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。) [) g3 i% _) @' \1 m# c
2 {, U2 V; d- V
想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?9 \' h) }: B% e3 K
# a9 y3 g) n: T0 T! G+ ?6 I
一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。
, A4 K% m3 }# c
% S* T0 k# P; p5 i0 i4 v4 j投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。4 W0 n. a1 Q; }" d
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