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[lastpost] => 2771883 随着机构购买的回归，比特币能否保持看涨势头？（转） 1760466407 右耳
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9.林迪效应
: Z! ]7 p9 e% N1 A$ d6 v/ j& a持续时间越长，持续的可能性就越大。很难说哪些币会在 20 年后还在，但 BTC 和以太坊很有可能会。因此，它们是最安全的投资选择。
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DeFi 黑客和漏洞很多，因此，如果您要抵押资产，那么选择具有林迪效应的协议，如Aave等是有意义的。如果它们是可破解的，那早就发生了。
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10.自我保护原则。3 Y% I) ?/ |/ [& W$ Z
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痛苦和恐惧是所有生物体不可分割的一部分，而自我保护是确保它们生存的行为。我不相信 3,3 或“HODL”的概念（3，3是一种庞氏经济学原则，意味着如果大家都卖，大家都有美好的未来；而HODL则是互相鼓励拿住，大家就都有美好的未来）。0 n9 H5 w r" m0 P5 E/ F& Y* e
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当事情变得艰难时，人们总是会把自己放在第一位。
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10.抓住重点原则
Y& {" L% H0 q9 x8 D) U3 a重要资源总是稀缺。比如：
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$ K% N! y. o& ~• 视频网站为内容而战。
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• 世界为石油和稀缺资源而战。5 \: c6 @9 ~8 }
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CRV战争中，稳定币的流动性是宝贵资源，我们看到协议在争夺 CRV / CVX 代币。那么，未来协议将争取的最宝贵资源是什么？" K9 L6 Q! l! W1 ~+ ]
6 l9 W! |. K% z: t) o11.二阶效果原则。
* r) T7 z0 x% A; T' a) R1 } f$ A每个动作都有一个后果，而后果之后其他还有后果。& B/ G2 V8 X5 [- c8 b1 h: f
% ?2 ?) Y4 M5 t0 K4 b, G多想一步！如，代币希望减少释放来减缓通胀。2 ]: V* q! V9 S) x2 I/ B- N
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但二阶效果是：apy降低，人们可能离开——除非代币有足够的作用或其他激励措施。7 s& g: c& q9 a' o" p- ^/ S5 L- n! Q
9 m+ q& J w t警惕：我们不擅长长期思考。9 C0 `$ w6 d( L
* a3 d' @" Q3 b* T/ |( @: X12.冲浪原则: x, j- o# e+ V5 G& q2 A1 M, k
您需要及早发现趋势，尽可能努力地驾驭它们，并在它停止之前离开。. n+ x5 g, \4 U/ t/ N7 g5 H0 g, r
Z3 D# e2 F; W/ x9 Z1 M% h及早识别和利用趋势：
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$ ]& ]0 T; o/ E4 `% f• 亚马逊抓住互联网浪潮。: y% y2 w+ i4 Y% H) x' n9 O
! ~7 S5 M8 Y% I$ s8 d. A) R4 u" q* C• Netflix 转向流媒体。
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1 H) ?- @5 n# j% K* \) U/ q在加密货币中：
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( R, Q& m9 d- F9 q* i/ m• 及早发现趋势（发现浪潮）- \. O- y. G7 r3 [ O# V
S6 q1 s5 c1 c• 投资（顺势而为）% T2 }, A6 h0 g* e
. z x* @- i1 ?7 `1 _( T• 一路获利。（在它崩溃之前离开浪潮）
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1 m8 @4 u6 ^1 u2 Z- |' Y/ s13.先行者和后行者优势, c' N f7 _+ l9 t' ^% B
协议先行进入市场可能会带来优势。
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要么通过品牌认知、转换成本，要么提前购买资源。7 `5 U- M% I7 W5 b
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而后行者，能改进技术，因此我们过一段时间就能看到一个L1。
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长期投资追求的就是稳妥~ |
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