优惠论坛
Well123
注册
找回密码 |
天策评选的优秀公司,所有会员与公司发生的问题我们将负责尽力协助处理。
收起/展开
新晋公司
 

新晋公司具有驻站代表,并不在论坛纠纷服务范围内,请会员自行判断选择

  • 356
S级信誉公司
ManBetX万博
YZ
乐投
188金宝博
E世博
瑞丰国际
A级信誉公司
吉祥坊
星宝合营
乐动体育
Vwin
B级信誉公司
bet365
C级合作公司
CMP
金星
LOKI
平博
  • 推荐主题
  • 热门活动
  • 币圈快讯
  • 商城动态
重要通知
 
论坛搜索
              搜索
Array ( [fid] => 1121 [description] => 天策社区的核心交流圈,会员可在此交流网络菠菜相关内容! [password] => [icon] => 3a/common_1121_icon.png [redirect] => [attachextensions] => [creditspolicy] => Array ( [post] => Array ( [usecustom] => 1 [cycletype] => 1 [cycletime] => 0 [rewardnum] => 10 [extcredits1] => 1 [extcredits2] => 1 [extcredits3] => 0 [extcredits4] => 0 [extcredits5] => 1 [extcredits6] => 0 [extcredits7] => 0 [extcredits8] => 0 [rid] => 1 [fid] => 1121 [rulename] => 发表主题 [action] => post [fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6951,6984,6895,6974,6975,6982,6937,6845,6879,1121 ) [reply] => Array ( [usecustom] => 1 [cycletype] => 1 [cycletime] => 0 [rewardnum] => 0 [extcredits1] => 0 [extcredits2] => 1 [extcredits3] => 10 [extcredits4] => 0 [extcredits6] => 0 [extcredits5] => 0 [extcredits7] => 0 [extcredits8] => 0 [rid] => 2 [fid] => 1121 [rulename] => 发表回复 [action] => reply [fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6951,6984,6895,6974,6975,6982,6937,6845,6879,1121 ) ) [formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";} [moderators] => 实习版主1 天策小编-幸福堂 天策小编-哈尔 [rules] => 策略综合讨论区版规与申明:

1.为了您自身信息安全考虑,除论坛官方TG群外,论坛不提倡创建或加入Q群,对出现推广网址/QQ号/QQ群/微博/微信号/手机号/联系方式的主题及回帖,版主会作屏蔽、删帖、禁言等处理。
2.为避免不法份子发帖诈骗,无论何种类型的讨要红包帖、借钱帖一律删除。
3.转载主题请注明出处,未注明与复制论坛已有主题者,将被扣除20经验/100活跃币/1000策小分及移贴、删帖处罚。
4.同一会员或客服就同一公司的主题帖,每天最多可发布5帖,超出部分版主会作移帖处理。
5.综合讨论大厅每人每日最多可发布20个主题帖。
6.仅限回复7天内的主题帖,如回复7天前主题帖视为“挖坟”。
7.版规可能存在不完善,任何利用版规钻漏洞的都将予以严惩。论坛拥有最终解释权并会不断完善规章制度。
8.大厅不处理纠纷与咨询性质主题,如有需要请移步【咨询驻站客服区】,同时版主保留锁帖/移贴操作的权限。 [threadtypes] => Array ( [required] => 1 [listable] => 1 [prefix] => 1 [types] => Array ( [111] => 论坛公告 [1446] => 天策快讯 [114] => 天策特约 [593] => 公司优惠 [109] => 综合讨论 [1619] => 天策嗨聊 [1445] => 晒奖分享 [878] => 吐槽大会 [1481] => 实战直播 [1605] => 科学上网 [1606] => 真人 [1608] => 彩票 [1609] => 棋牌 [1610] => 电竞 [1611] => 电子 [1750] => 天策解说 [1660] => 入驻合作 ) [icons] => Array ( [111] => [1446] => [114] => [593] => [109] => [1619] => [1445] => [878] => [1481] => [1605] => [1606] => [1608] => [1609] => [1610] => [1611] => [1750] => [1660] => ) [moderators] => Array ( [111] => 1 [1446] => 1 [114] => 1 [593] => [109] => [1619] => 1 [1445] => [878] => [1481] => [1605] => [1606] => [1608] => [1609] => [1610] => [1611] => [1750] => [1660] => ) ) [threadsorts] => Array ( ) [viewperm] => 9 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8 [postperm] => 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 [replyperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 [getattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 [postattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 [postimageperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 [spviewperm] => [seotitle] => 综合讨论大厅 [keywords] => 玩家交流,优惠红利,各类活动,策略理论, [seodescription] => 综合讨论大厅志在为真实玩家带来一个干净公正的交流平台,在这里可以学习到各种打法以及下注心得 [supe_pushsetting] => [modrecommend] => Array ( [open] => 0 [sort] => 1 [orderby] => 3 [num] => 5 [imagenum] => 5 [imagewidth] => 200 [imageheight] => 150 [maxlength] => 0 [cachelife] => 900 [dateline] => 0 ) [threadplugin] => Array ( ) [replybg] => [extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:7:"#000000";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"60";} [jointype] => 0 [gviewperm] => 0 [membernum] => 0 [dateline] => 0 [lastupdate] => 0 [activity] => 0 [founderuid] => 0 [foundername] => [banner] => [groupnum] => 0 [commentitem] => [relatedgroup] => [picstyle] => 0 [widthauto] => 0 [noantitheft] => 0 [noforumhidewater] => 0 [noforumrecommend] => 0 [livetid] => 0 [price] => 0 [fup] => 6729 [type] => forum [name] => 天策综合讨论大厅 [status] => 1 [displayorder] => 1 [styleid] => 0 [threads] => 1013906 [posts] => 16777215 [todayposts] => 1281 [yesterdayposts] => 1400 [rank] => 1 [oldrank] => 1 [lastpost] => 2754601 海洋乐园厕所现“扫码洗手每15秒0.3元”,民众哗然:下一步是扫码呼吸? 1754647975 天策-菱玖 [domain] => [allowsmilies] => 1 [allowhtml] => 1 [allowbbcode] => 1 [allowimgcode] => 1 [allowmediacode] => 1 [allowanonymous] => 0 [allowpostspecial] => 21 [allowspecialonly] => 0 [allowappend] => 0 [alloweditrules] => 1 [allowfeed] => 0 [allowside] => 0 [recyclebin] => 1 [modnewposts] => 2 [jammer] => 1 [disablewatermark] => 0 [inheritedmod] => 0 [autoclose] => 0 [forumcolumns] => 4 [catforumcolumns] => 0 [threadcaches] => 0 [alloweditpost] => 1 [simple] => 16 [modworks] => 1 [allowglobalstick] => 1 [level] => 0 [commoncredits] => 0 [archive] => 0 [recommend] => 0 [favtimes] => 38 [sharetimes] => 0 [disablethumb] => 0 [disablecollect] => 0 [ismoderator] => 0 [threadtableid] => 0 [allowreply] => [allowpost] => [allowpostattach] => )
打印 上一主题 下一主题
[真人] 细谈21点下注
[复制链接]
avatar
跳转到指定楼层
1#
21点算牌与当日冲销类似,坐在赌桌等机会,算到好牌下大注。" s$ k( o, [2 B  H0 E! R; c
算牌时将牌分成小牌(2-6)及大牌(10JQKA),789不重要不算。自第一手自0开始看到小牌加1大牌减1。$ W. u8 z# Q$ n
依剩馀副数调整真数供下注及打牌参考。* o5 N- P- s- v! V* c" A
假设你面对6副牌基本输率0.25%赌桌,算到真1平均赢DC0.25%,应该下多少钱?下几手?每一真1算牌客平均多赢0.5%,真2赢0.75%,真3+1.25%。
% w; u! e, a- r. Z# o真数愈高表示看到小牌多剩下大牌多庄家(必须补到17点)易爆,大牌愈多算牌客应少加牌、多投降、多赌倍、多分牌。
# j, L! l2 ^7 n! G# }  G5 k, r例如基本策略12 versus 庄3加牌,真2以上时不加。打多大打几门依赌本,风险偏好及同桌门数而不同。+ r; N! f8 F) O, n; p3 A& B
假设使用50万美元,依半凯利下注……面对1%获利机会下1/2%的赌本,赌本加倍前输光的风险约1.8%(平均98.2%可以成功把赌本加倍)。
4 C2 T# [8 R7 k7 R, Y( r6 r玩21点时下注后还会分牌及赌倍使下注增加,因此2%收益率不应下1%赌本,而是1%的76%……0.76%。" s6 l7 f# _/ S* b8 \( r( ^! v
如果只下一门0.76%但下二门风险分散总下注额可以增加46%……下一门0.76%,下二门二门各0.56%合计1.12%,下三门总下注额可以增加71%!下三门各0.43%,合计1.3%。
) w) q, I# C4 J1 @: z把500,000赌本代入,各种情形之下注额如下:
2 M: a- Y8 w  A% {8 }下一门 下二门合计 下三门合计
$ s9 j3 N1 X- C5 M# m真1 500 700 800
0 G# }6 u+ y2 |2 M真2 1400 2100 2400! c5 q5 L8 {2 S5 ~3 M- o1 A! w
真3 2400 3500 4100( p$ w( @$ ?" F8 Z1 g
真4 3300 4900 5700
+ }7 E- m3 q: g8 u8 [; m5 Q真5 4300 6200 73000 a  y: A6 G$ P
真6 5200 7600 8900
6 P5 x+ k, W$ f9 V5 D$ n真7 6200 9000 10,600
7 W% R* |6 \! G- b+ |如果有选择,好牌时应该下几门?
1 y4 S7 z1 t1 s  D) y* d) sDon Schleisinger在《Blackjack Attack》一书中分析如下:
" y/ T% I( c2 r  u+ V7 Z( K4 Z- `! ~假设你打7位赌桌,单独打,同桌有另一人,另二人,另三人,另四人,你打几门最好?假设顶注500元一人下一门100次约540张牌(平均一轮一位用2.7张牌),下二门只能下67次(540÷8.1)下三门下50次(540÷10.8)则风险相同下(一门下500元风险与二门共下730元及三门共下855元风险相同)下一门总下注额最高:
1 P3 U, D9 z, I, P一人打 下注次数 总下注额" [6 o! M. e, ?' O; M- y
下一门 100 50,000*# L& M9 l+ c4 t* f' ^- V# l
下二门 67 48,910& X2 g# F! `( N5 F+ {
下三门 50 42,750
0 e* R) N8 m7 T/ o*即风险相同下下一门总下注额最高(获利最高)。
6 p+ \& X/ Y3 M+ o4 v若同桌有另一人下一门:
  X3 R4 o' o9 x; Y二人打 下注次数 总下注额5 c0 n* S2 @% P1 F0 J1 r- {
你下一门 67 33,5209 |6 C, t0 b( ]
你下二门 50 36,500*
$ a& W, Z& \' p5 Y8 f( d你下三门 40 34,200
& u& ^0 w8 g/ T9 C$ x/ E*即下二门总获利最高。
  o$ u- j& j; T) {  c# ~1 v9 F) o" ~' Y8 G若同桌有人下二门:
' X( P: c$ k, Y, i: b0 L三人打 下注次数 总下注额
  l; j% H- P/ o6 S你下一门 50 25,000
0 t0 ]/ q* o# o# N& E) [你下二门 40 29,200*! Z" w. @# d( k  F8 E
你下三门 33 28,215
# D4 j9 ^0 f# L) s5 D% V& G*也是下二门总获利最高。! Q" o8 r, e0 N$ w9 ~
若同桌有人下三门:+ I5 |* }6 ?2 ~, h4 K/ Y
四人打 下注次数 总下注额
5 H( W) k# t0 K7 y2 H你下一门 40 20,000
2 R$ F0 G' v& c( b  r你下二门 33 24,090
. G: E7 R4 w& T/ l你下三门 29 24,795*
, F% i0 R- W9 n+ `, g*下三门好。$ c0 O7 ~, H9 O6 ~! g* e3 P" R
五人打 下注次数 总下注额
$ q7 S0 o- M8 U- X8 D( q你下一门 33 16,5209 T5 s; m( I. ~( t6 C, ?, `/ p
你下二门 29 21,170
0 i# t( q4 `  C你下三门 25 21,375*. F# Q7 F" {1 j3 L& M. p
*下三门好。) w$ J7 ~- b9 Y
综合而言,在上限以内时,一人打打一门,二人打打二门,三人打打二门,四人及五人打打三门,但若仔细看其实一律打二门与最适打差得有限。如一人打时只差2%(50,000与48,910比),四人打差3%,五人打差1%因此好牌时一律打二门无妨。( F8 @+ L7 l+ U, r1 j" Z3 J- A
注意「上限以内」为前提。; M1 A; H1 m% J# s0 x; g; |
如果上限为500,好牌应下1000,则即使只一人打也应打二门甚至三门,又最后一回不必省牌多打几门无妨。
您需要登录后才可以回帖 登录 | 论坛注册

本版积分规则

:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
{:8_286:} {:8_287:} {:8_288:} {:8_289:}
{:8_290:} {:8_291:} {:8_292:} {:8_293:}
{:8_294:} {:8_295:} {:8_296:} {:8_297:}
{:8_298:} {:8_299:} {:8_300:} {:8_301:}
{:8_302:} {:8_303:} {:8_304:} {:8_305:}
{:8_306:} {:8_307:} {:8_308:} {:8_309:}
{:8_310:} {:8_311:} {:8_312:}
{:8_313:} {:8_314:} {:8_315:} {:8_316:}
{:8_317:} {:8_318:} {:8_319:} {:8_320:}
:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory:
:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake:
未有绑定记录
 


Powered by 天策论坛   © 2007-2025 天策论坛 | 小黑屋 | 手机|
1717 : 0