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AC米兰vs拉齐奥解读：擅打揭幕战 红黑军开门红
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北京时间9月10日星期六凌晨2点45分，2011/2012意大利足球甲级联赛将迎来新赛季揭幕战，卫冕冠军AC米兰将坐镇圣西罗球场迎战拉齐奥。
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欧赔
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Bet365：1.66 3.60 5.50# k) ]) U" D$ |( l$ u. _: W
) v. u7 v. z0 a# y- [# {$ R, VSNAI：1.60 3.50 5.75! ?& P6 q) J1 b% }' B( p
. h6 f$ b8 E/ n+ n# Q: D威廉希尔：1.61 3.60 6.008 f" @) k$ g1 ]
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相比欧平1.62-3.47-5.51，Bet365主胜略高，SNAI、威廉希尔主胜都与欧平相近，平赔方面三家公司则都在欧平之上。值得一提的是威廉希尔的赔率，1.61-3.60-6.00组合下的历史数据是主队4战全胜。
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亚指
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澳彩：0.84 半球/一球 1.02
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立博：0.88 半球/一球 0.988 E; Z+ r5 g3 Y5 P
9 R) e) f( t" _4 F7 c+ f! O$ y$ M金宝博：0.88 半球/一球 1.05
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AC米兰此役主场需做出半球/一球的让步，相比较两队以往交锋数据，AC米兰此番让步幅度略为偏小，总体感觉是可胜不稳。但就盘路而言，AC米兰近期一直延续着输赢输赢这样的跳变走势，上周热身赛赢球输盘后，红黑军团本场盘路快速反弹几率不小。" m% B2 {. ^0 B3 W8 D6 e
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交锋往绩. ]" M+ M% C; Z( M4 A! z% x0 C
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两队近42次交锋AC米兰19胜18平5负占据上风，其中主场22次交锋12胜9平1负优势更为明显。不过需要提醒的是，两队最近3次交锋，拉齐奥都成功逼平对手，上赛季两队在圣西罗就0比0闷平收场。3 C: C7 a! I8 X7 W e
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综合分析
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由于意甲停摆延续了正常赛程，AC米兰vs拉齐奥的次轮赛事成为了新赛季意甲的揭幕战。卫冕冠军AC米兰今夏并未对阵容进行太大调整，只是在个别位置上进行小修小补。本场比赛，塔伊沃和梅克斯两名新援都将因伤缺席，同样高挂免战牌的还有范博梅尔、弗拉米尼和罗比尼奥三员大将，AC米兰赛季初期就遭遇了不小的伤病危机。相对而言，拉齐奥的伤停情况要乐观点，只有斯坦科维休斯、斯库利和马切蒂三人缺席，今夏加盟的克洛泽与西塞都可披挂上阵。
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& l4 P( T. E5 o. l4 p回顾2011年，AC米兰联赛仅仅在做客西西里岛的时候输过给巴勒莫，其余比赛都保持不败。另一项更值得红黑军团引以为豪的数据是，他们过去28个赛季打联赛揭幕战，也仅仅输过1次。结合两队的交锋往绩，拉齐奥此役做客想连续第4度逼平米兰，难度颇大。本场不论是欧赔抑或亚指，都倾向于AC米兰主场取得开门红，预计比分2-1或3-1。 |
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