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[打法交流]
还记得Dwan回归首秀的那把AA撞KK撞QQ吗？来测测你对翻前强牌相撞赢率的了解！（转）
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扑克圈最近因为《深夜尬牌（Poker After Dark）》的回归和Tom Dwan重回电视扑克真人秀而引发了大片轰动。特别是在某一期节目中，Tom Dwan、Antonio Esfandiari和Daniel Negreanu一起打出的那手AA vs. KK vs. QQ的诡异牌局，更是引发了扑克圈的广泛讨论...* r, o3 k3 y- R; g! h$ L' o
AA vs. KK vs. QQ的局面并非今年首次出现，但外媒PokerNews仍为该专题开设了一次能力测试。以下就是以德州扑克中强牌相撞为核心所列出的8道选择题，答对6题即为合格。答错了也不用担心，答案后面会有相关解析。虽然题目并不算难，但想全部答对也是需要点功底的，快来测测你的水平吧~
, I* U7 D; s4 L" \3 RQ1：在那局三人对抗中，Dwan最终用A♠A♣加注全下，魔术师用K♥K♣跟注，而丹牛则见状放弃了Q♦Q♣。Dwan和魔术师决定发两次牌，最终两次都由Dwan胜出，赢下了一个近70万刀的大底池。这个结果并不让人吃惊，因为AA对KK本身就有____ 的优势。
3 a, \/ S4 S' x+ M0 h4 `A. 近62%
# L" Q8 H7 A- X3 IB. 73%* ?) G$ K. R3 u( @ Y$ a
C. 近82%' O# B% Z7 r4 Q5 B
Q2：假设丹牛用Q♦Q♣跟注，那么他击败Dwan的A♠A♣ 和魔术师的K♣K♥的概率有多大？
* T/ d+ S* m% p: x/ qA. 不到8%
* r; S4 x9 ?% ^1 tB. 略高于15%$ c" F. I! B2 t1 N2 r
C. 27%4 s: R/ m2 I7 D; \% s0 j
Q3：丹牛在弃牌时曾说他怀疑Dwan和魔术师俩人都是AK。那么如果丹牛用Q♦Q♣跟注，而他的两个对手又的确都是AK的话，他最终取胜的概率是多少呢？7 {1 P- u# r, w4 Z E3 S
A. 35%
3 n( }4 l0 e. M+ f9 @3 h( HB. 不到50%
. I8 A6 Y4 ]8 L2 a: X( F3 w5 pC. 约65% }. H s* Z& N2 |9 e4 }5 z; p
Q4：如果你用K♣K♥全下撞上A♠A♣，那么你的赢率还不到18%；但如果你用KK跟注而对手拿着A♠K♦，那么你的赢率会是多少？: Z$ }+ w7 U+ l2 k
A. 刚好超过55%
) d4 T) p0 Z; X4 |3 f8 \2 C+ W- nB. 约70%
* ^. N* x, h7 w: }" ^/ N. z/ i2 z9 W2 {& aC. 近85%
. y) J8 v* T, _+ \% [% [- `2 P( mQ5：如果你用A♠K♦全下撞上Q♦Q♣，你的赢率是多少？ M1 U$ z2 l) K V
A. 33%# X) c: P9 X3 j# T1 a
B. 约43%
1 o2 y% V2 o j7 v$ e6 F( {# eC. 近52%- k/ M5 D" \0 w9 E) p% |4 B, \
Q6：底牌拿到AA、KK、QQ中任意一手的概率有多大？
) U* |( D; a7 G; \A. 1/110# _ w5 D, _ N$ G4 ^ X. @
B. 1/73! o u/ G7 S4 l' o; j/ x8 _+ F+ x
C. 1/543 l& U& {% [2 D, a9 c
Q7：底牌拿到AK的概率有多大？
' M& _' a; Y/ c& p: YA. 1/82: v, f- u3 Y( C- U( a5 F
B. 1/45
4 T" A( n U0 q/ jC. 1/33
* Q" D8 Q N V3 H4 Y, m2 ~Q8：最后，你认为自己被发到AA的概率有多大？) d7 z% z$ Z/ I
A. 每221手牌被发到一次4 |* d& @2 g9 Z% S, M, h6 `/ S8 A
B. 每110手牌被发到一次
* W# g" y# i+ m0 e5 ?/ PC. 每117手牌被发到一次
" I9 w5 c! M; Q/ Z( o7 S。 。 。 。 。 - ^4 ~6 {' D" T/ A' E2 w R8 k5 Q
正确答案：
|7 N: K2 q6 h/ }4 } ?1 y" Z% s1. C
4 u6 R D# U1 j" ]0 N6 zDwan的AA对魔术师的KK有着近乎82%的赢率
1 n0 R) V! z" ~, J4 L) t2. B
' P$ h/ K1 P& ^3 _6 s! |1 P正确答案是略高于15%) u+ o! N! i o( m- q* l
3. C
0 O/ K' x6 M7 \ _7 r% O6 J* y" X& u& l) GQQ对抗AK有略高于65%的赢率
+ R4 Y- }. E( j3 o" K c: d0 R4. B ) a) @$ @5 G' \( C9 y
KK对抗AK有大约70%的赢率
! w7 z3 Z* f1 P8 o, R2 m5. B
2 [+ J1 o3 w: x5 C% h$ lAK对抗QQ有大约43%的赢率
& E+ y# Q6 z2 h2 Y- r6. B
7 Z$ i( d3 v2 Y; i3 b* f底牌拿到AA、KK、QQ中任意一手的概率约为1/73
; G9 D, h: _) a* ^6 M7. A
% r- j6 K; b; A7 f) R5 b6 t在德州扑克中，手牌被发到AK（不管是否同花）的概率约为1/82
; } Z4 I) I, y. J1 z, U8. A
0 L2 ^7 t0 e% D" l. L4 q/ x手牌被发到AA的概率约为每221手牌发到一次/ f, N; c# `8 e! h/ [
) M4 Q3 h, m) ?5 q6 c* |( I5 J
6 \) o, V2 T4 k! ~8 j$ ~3 B- t% |8 e. A |
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