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[lastpost] => 2783491 比特币暴跌导致杠杆多头头寸在短短一小时内蒸发近10亿美元。(转) 1763744139 右耳
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币暴跌导致杠杆多头头寸在短短一小时内蒸发近10亿美元。(转)
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周五上午,加密货币市场延续跌势。比特币跌至日内低点81,868 美元不到10分钟内下跌了2%。这一突如其来的波动几乎引发了连锁反应。10亿美元不到一小时便出现清算,进一步强化了近几周以来的下跌趋势。
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过去24小时内,交易员们经历了大约19.7亿美元数字资产被迫清算的情况屡见不鲜。此外,市值排名前十的加密货币(不包括稳定币)同期均出现两位数跌幅,加剧了抛售潮。2 E+ x2 P/ m! d' K9 a4 }: ]( j J
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直接结果是,总加密货币市值跌落3万亿美元这是七个月来的首次。然而,整体风险环境似乎更加稳定。标准普尔500指数周四下跌后出现反弹,表明冲击主要局限于加密货币领域。% V3 t# L# S1 u. m9 s
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比特币未平仓合约数据揭示了哪些杠杆信息?% i3 ^0 l5 F) q. A7 x ?/ o
这是自10月10日一位分析师加密量化并指出,此次下跌与上次大规模抛售形成了鲜明对比。10月10日的历史性清算事件主要由现货抛售驱动,而目前的下跌则主要由杠杆驱动,这表明衍生品市场存在过度冒险行为。' b3 a3 `1 t, Y7 f1 T
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比特币以...命名未平仓合约周四,未平仓期货和永续合约的总数比10月10日的水平高出5000个比特币,达到295,054 BTC根据以下数据:自行车然而,过去48小时内的后续抛售抹去了这些涨幅,导致未平仓合约量下降了约100%。8,500 个比特币到286,461 BTC.
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# M/ g% o8 J' a/ T比特币的交易水平82,000 美元未平仓合约减少 8,500 枚比特币,这几乎相当于7亿美元在概念bao光方面。深入观察表明,大约5亿美元比特币多头头寸在一个小时内被清算,这凸显了当波动性飙升时,杠杆多头头寸被迅速抹杀的速度有多快。) @; r& F" y" s3 N! r* D
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哪些资产受杠杆多头清算的影响最大?; n" ?1 e, |2 e: e1 c( x
虽然比特币首当其冲,但其他主要山寨币也遭受了重大损失。以太坊和索拉纳多头头寸在清算排行榜上排名第二,约1.83亿美元和5600万美元分别在长期清算中发生。这种跨资产级联效应凸显了一旦价格逆转,杠杆作用会如何迅速地破坏整体市场的稳定。
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尽管整体看跌情绪已持续数周,但其根源也在于宏观经济方面的担忧,包括财政和货币政策的变化以及近期信用违约互换的扩大。即便如此,周五的暴跌似乎更具局部性,主要原因似乎是高杠杆的巨鲸头寸,而非广泛的宏观冲击。
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( I/ v8 ~4 y2 A- h9 ~6 ~加密货币巨鲸的未实现损失有多大?
" Y/ b6 l- C. y! W3 }) [一个主要鲸目前大约3700万美元由于以太坊和比特币多头头寸出现未实现亏损,该交易员的累计利润大幅下滑。6300万美元在11月10日仅仅400万美元截至周五,大约发生了一起崩盘。93%这种逆转表明,在瞬息万变的市场中,过度杠杆化的策略会如何迅速产生反作用。3 o- z2 [/ R; ]1 B
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在类似事件中,杰夫·“马奇大哥”·黄他的业绩急剧下滑。他的利润也大幅下降。4480万美元在9月18日到– 2000万美元几乎65万美元短短24小时内,股市就录得新的亏损。此外,大型参与者的这种剧烈波动会加剧市场波动,并可能加速交易所的强制抛售。9 F2 |( |. Y3 E! [
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情绪指标显示了加密货币市场的哪些信息?
6 y8 b f! i" }市场情绪与价格走势同步恶化。加密货币恐惧与贪婪指数市场仍处于“极度恐慌”区域,反映出散户和机构交易者焦虑情绪加剧。在预测平台上无数恐惧情绪的市场情绪持续波动。49.7%这凸显了信心的脆弱性。
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“短期内,我们面临着非常棘手的局面,”他说。德里克·林,研究主管卡拉丹林先生表示,近期的交易活动与核心经济指标并不完全吻合。但他指出,有几个重要的催化剂最终可能会支撑流动性,包括量化紧缩政策的结束、美国ZF支出的重启以及潜在的刺激方案。
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这些发展趋势即便最终实现,也需要时间才能完全渗透到数字资产市场。因此,加密货币价格尚未反映出一些分析师认为相对稳健的经济基本面,存在一定的滞后性。
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比特币是否会再次崩盘?2 D$ \7 o* ^! O f, S, p7 M
最新一波加密货币市场清算这表明,即使没有重大的宏观冲击,集中杠杆也能迅速扰乱价格。如果未平仓合约在市场情绪依然脆弱的情况下过快恢复,则可能引发新一轮下跌,导致进一步的强制抛售。然而,宏观经济状况的任何稳定或杠杆的适度降低都可能有助于市场逐步重建信心。3 ?1 {- J8 j, g1 C3 t
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目前,交易者面临着极端情绪、剧烈波动和资产负债表受损的局面,尤其是那些过度杠杆化的巨鲸。未来几周将见分晓:衍生品市场能否在不再次遭受冲击的情况下恢复稳定,还是这仅仅是加密货币漫长而剧烈的繁荣与萧条周期中的又一章?
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